Photo by John Powell/Liverpool FC via Getty Images

Statisticians give Liverpool 98% chance of winning Premier League

The Reds are absolutely miles ahead at the minute. Jürgen Klopp’s men cruised past Spurs at the weekend to maintain their 14 point lead over Manchester City, with a game in hand that could increase the lead to 17 points. With the final reckoning now seeming like a formality, statisticians FiveThirtyEight have given Liverpool a 98% chance of winning the Premier League.

Statisticians have given Liverpool a 98% chance of winning the Premier League.. (Photo by John Powell/Liverpool FC via Getty Images)

It was yet another routine victory that kept the Reds out of sight at the top. Spurs did their best but ultimately the North London fixture was little more than a formality.

Roberto Firmino fired past Paulo Gazzaniga after 37 minutes to put Liverpool ahead and Jürgen’s Reds aren’t in the business of conceding leads these days.

According to FiveThirtyEight, Liverpool have a 98% chance of winning the Premier League this season given the yawning gap between the Reds and Manchester City in second place.

They believe that the top two are already in order and won’t move. The table has given Manchester City a 2% chance of finishing top and a 7% chance of finishing third whilst they have a 90% chance of finishing second.

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What RTK has to say

We will not believe it until it is mathematically over. We cannot get complacent, we have been hurt before. However, this finally feels like our year.


If we don’t want to be disappointed come the end of the season, the Reds need to continue with their ‘one game at a time’ attitude.

Not getting carried away has been a successful method of staying focused for Jürgen Klopp – they aren’t thinking about records, they aren’t thinking about that big game next month – they are only thinking about winning that next game.

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