Liverpool will reportedly take a risk on Marko Grujic this season. It’s one that could be worth millions down the line, however.
It’s starting to look increasingly likely, then. It’s a strange stance, in truth, and one that looks even stranger after Grujic didn’t even make the bench at the weekend.
Still, this could be a risk worth taking.
Bild claimed this summer that Hertha BSC hoped to sign Grujic for around £13m. Now, that is a pittance, really, for a player who shone in the Bundesliga for two years.
But Hertha are the side most likely to sign the player, given that’s where Grujic spent those two years. So put those together and you see that Liverpool aren’t likely to get what they want for the player.
Transfermarkt has the Bundesliga’s spending as pretty low. Outside of Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, Hertha actually lead the league with the largest net-spend – but it’s only £10m.
Given the Bundesliga is the league most likely to see value in Grujic, that’s worrying for Liverpool. If they want to sell the player, who’s going to stump up the cash?
Consider, then, that ESPN said last year that Liverpool wanted £35m for Grujic. That’s a £22m drop to what Hertha reportedly offered. And that much be a sign of the times.
Matchday revenue is non-existent, after all, and that hits clubs hard. It may well be that it’s impossible for Liverpool to get what they want for Grujic, then.
Hence this risk.
Banking on Grujic
If Liverpool keep Grujic until January, there may be more freedom for certain clubs to pay the money they want. The risk, however, is that the player’s reputation lessens in that time.
He may not play at all, for instance, and that would hit his value quite hard. It may be that they don’t even get £13m offers come winter.
But it may be that his reputation holds and his value rises considerably. No, Liverpool wouldn’t get the money now when they possibly need it.
Long-term, though, this is a risk that could secure them millions more for Grujic down the line.